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Ms.D-Election Prediction

2.11.08
Based on votes and polls, I predict the next president of theUnited States will be Barack

Obama..I think he would make a good president because he has personal experience with

poverty and the growing income gap, having grown up abroad in Indonesia and working as a

community organizer in the south side of Chicago. If I were over eighteen, I would deffinatly

vote for Obama also, considering the fact that he is the only black man to come this close to

winning presidency.According to the votes and polls, Barack Obama is winning the popular vote

by 7.84 percent, with McCain having 45.08 percent and Obama leading with 52.92 percent.

When voting, electoers have a large part in deciding who the next potential president will be. In

this 2008 election, Obama has three hundred-seventy five electoral votes, while McCain only

has one hundred- sixty three (Obama leading by two hundred-twelve). When finding my

numerical evidence, I had to divide the population of a state into 646946.9103 to get the

number of representatives from each state, then add two to get how many electors were in each

state.Obama also has fifty-seven percent of the Senate’s vote, while McCain only has forty-one

percent, leaving two percent undecided. Obama has also won twenty-eight states and Hawai,

while McCain only won twenty-two states and Alaska. By only comparing the data of the

popularity vote, you can predict that Barack Obama will win the 2008 presidential election. In

conclusion, I would say Obama has a pretty better chance of winning the election more than

any other candidate. I think the reason why people are choosing Obama over McCain is

because, has the most experience as an elected official and legislator, with over 10 years in state

and federal public service. He is the only top Democratic candidate who understands both state

and federal government as an elected legislator. Also, because has sponsored, co-sponsored and

advocatedfor significant and realistic legislation to end global warming by capturing and safely

disposing carbon dioxide, raising vehicle fuel economy standards and replacing petroleum with

home-grown biofuels like cellulosic ethanol. Problems like these are what people expect to be

fixed. Obama also considers all people as being equal, while McCain discriminates against

“middle class” people naming them as “poor people”. The United States doesn’t need anymore

discrimination than what it already has and by McCain calling middle class people “poor

people,” this draws me to the conclusion that wealthy people will get better treatment more

thanthose that need it the most.

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